Will Baltimore Orioles advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.3¢
- Implied chance
- 2.3%
- Return if right
- 4247.8%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 4347.8 shares at 2.3¢ each.
YES wins: $4347.83 back, a profit of $4247.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3652.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $7900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 84%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.27.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Baltimore Orioles1.0%
- Tampa Bay Rays48.5%
- Toronto Blue Jays7.5%
- Texas Rangers13.5%
- New York Yankees30.0%
- Boston Red Sox24.5%
Latest: Sep 24, 03:34 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sonny Gray and the Boston Red Sox host Cleveland Guardians in a potential MLB playoffs previewFox News · 5h ago
- Betr Promo Code FOXNEWS: Get $200 in Bonuses in Time for the MLB Playoffs, NFL Week 3 and MoreFox News · 13h ago
- Underdog Promo Code FOXNEWS: Unlock a $1000 Deposit Match When You Join Ahead of the MLB PlayoffsFox News · 13h ago
- Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles face off in playoff-style game with wild card on the lineFox News · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Baltimore Orioles advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB P…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: https://www.mlb.com/
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