Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 73.0¢
- Implied chance
- 73.0%
- Return if right
- 37.0%
- Spread cost
- 76%
If you put in $100
You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.
YES wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $116.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $153.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 90%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $58.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $65.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Babalwa Lobishe24.5%
- Retief Odendaal48.0%
- Andile Lungisa38.0%
- Siva Pillay45.5%
- Wandisile Jikeka17.5%
- Bulelwa Mafaya42.0%
Latest: Aug 19, 07:11 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Nelson Mandela Bay’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay (Port Elizabeth)?
Will Retief Odendaal be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
Will Wandisile Jikeka be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
Will Bulelwa Mafaya be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
Will Andile Lungisa be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
Will Sinawo Thambo be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
Will Siva Pillay be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?