Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.0¢
- Implied chance
- 4.0%
- Return if right
- 2400.0%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 2500.0 shares at 4.0¢ each.
YES wins: $2500.00 back, a profit of $2400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1273.58 of that profit. Without it you would make $3673.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.7¢
- Implied chance
- 98.7%
- Return if right
- 1.3%
- Spread cost
- 52%
If you put in $100
You get 101.3 shares at 98.7¢ each.
NO wins: $101.32 back, a profit of $1.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- David Harbour on Starring Alongside ‘Creative Powerhouse’ Robert Downey Jr. in ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ and Reuniting With Millie Bobby Brown for New Netflix ShowVariety · 9d ago
- ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ Has Already Made $50 Million in Pre-Sales, Three Months Before ReleaseVariety · 14d ago
- Andrew Garfield Hasn’t Seen ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Yet and Insists He’s Not in ‘Avengers: Doomsday’Variety · 21d ago
- ‘Avengers: Doomsday’ Shot Without a Finished Script, but Co-Director Joe Russo Says ‘We Always View’ the Screenplay as a ‘Living Organism’Variety · 21d ago
- Marvel Launches ‘Countdown to Avengers: Doomsday Official Podcast’ Ahead of Movie’s December DebutVariety · 28d ago
- Re-Watching ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Is “Required” to Understand ‘Avengers: Doomsday,’ Joe Russo SaysThe Hollywood Reporter · 28d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.