Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.8¢
- Implied chance
- 9.8%
- Return if right
- 920.4%
- Spread cost
- 26%
If you put in $100
You get 1020.4 shares at 9.8¢ each.
YES wins: $1020.41 back, a profit of $920.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $330.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $1251.35.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.0¢
- Implied chance
- 95.0%
- Return if right
- 5.3%
- Spread cost
- 34%
If you put in $100
You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.
NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović7.4%
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!70.5%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš22.5%
Latest: Oct 5, 04:14 AM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Serbian populist leader Vucic launches campaign for prime ministerAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- GOP Reps urge Trump to reimpose sanctions on Russian-owned Serbian refineryThe Hill · 7d ago
- Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic resigns amid prolonged protestsAl Jazeera · 7d ago
- Embattled Serbian president resigns, paving way for early electionsBBC News · 7d ago
- Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic announces resignationDeutsche Welle · 7d ago
- 🔴 Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic resigns, expected to run for prime ministerFrance 24 · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
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