Will Atlético Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?

Q: Will Atlético Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?

Prediction markets currently price this at 22%. A YES share costs 22.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 354.5% over 4.7mo.

UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase$10k liquidity$6 volumecloses 4.7mo

UCLSoccerSportsUCL MatchdayHide From NewQualification

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 22.0¢
Implied chance: 22.0%
Return if right: 354.5%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 454.5 shares at 22.0¢ each.

YES wins: $454.55 back, a profit of $354.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $10.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 79.0¢
Implied chance: 79.0%
Return if right: 26.6%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.

NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 9, 10:09 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Atlético Madrid finish top 8 in UCL league phase?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.