Will Aston Villa finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?

Q: Will Aston Villa finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?

Prediction markets currently price this at 66%. A YES share costs 66.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 51.5% over 4.8mo.

UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish 9th-24th in League Phase$3k liquidity$60 volumecloses 4.8mo

UCLSoccerSportsUCL MatchdayHide From NewQualification

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 66.0¢
Implied chance: 66.0%
Return if right: 51.5%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 151.5 shares at 66.0¢ each.

YES wins: $151.52 back, a profit of $51.52. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $56.25.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 38.0¢
Implied chance: 38.0%
Return if right: 163.2%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.

NO wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $177.78.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 5, 05:01 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 9th through 24th, inclusive, in the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 9th through 24th in the league phase (e.g. they clinch a place in the top 8, or they are mathematically unable to finish above 25th), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.