Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?

Q: Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 14%. A YES share costs 14.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 614.3% over 4.7mo.

Top Spotify Album 2026$5k liquidity$47k volumecloses 4.7mo

MusicCulturespotify

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 14.0¢
Implied chance: 14.0%
Return if right: 614.3%
Spread cost: 8%

If you put in $100

You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.

YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $54.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 88.0¢
Implied chance: 88.0%
Return if right: 13.6%
Spread cost: 9%

If you put in $100

You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.

NO wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 08:24 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed albums (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market will resolve according to the most-streamed Spotify album for 2026. If Spotify does not release its top album for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.