Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.6¢
- Implied chance
- 1.6%
- Return if right
- 6150.0%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 6250.0 shares at 1.6¢ each.
YES wins: $6250.00 back, a profit of $6150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4276.32 of that profit. Without it you would make $10426.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 69%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 07:34 AM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ariana Grande Debuts at No. 1 on Album Chart With ‘Petal,’ Earning Her Best First-Week Numbers in Seven YearsVariety · 2d ago
- Bill Maher’s Jab About Ariana Grande’s Weight Leads to ‘Real Time’ Studio Audience GroansThe Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
- Bill Maher’s Joke About Ariana Grande’s Weight Draws Groans From ‘Real Time’ AudienceVariety · 3d ago
- Ryan Murphy Spills on All-Star Season of ‘American Horror Story,’ Talks Ariana Grande’s Exit and Is Seriously Considering Doing More ‘Glee’The Hollywood Reporter · 5d ago
- Ariana Grande sets record straight after announcing break from spotlightFox News · 6d ago
- Ariana Grande’s Decision to Withdraw From ‘Sunday in the Park’ Came as Surprise to Key Production MembersThe Hollywood Reporter · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 20…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed Spotify artist for 2026. If Spotify does not release its second most-streamed artist for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". If Spotify lists more than one artist as the second most-streamed artist, this market will resolve in favor of the artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Spotify is a registered mark of Spotify AB. Polymarket is not affiliated with Spotify AB and neither Spotify AB, nor its affiliates, sponsor or endorse Polymarket.
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