Will Arch Manning win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.2¢
- Implied chance
- 8.2%
- Return if right
- 1119.5%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 1219.5 shares at 8.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1219.51 back, a profit of $1119.51. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $284.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $1403.76.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.9¢
- Implied chance
- 94.9%
- Return if right
- 5.4%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 105.4 shares at 94.9¢ each.
NO wins: $105.37 back, a profit of $5.37. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.12.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Arch Manning6.6%
- Brendan Sorsby2.9%
- LaNorris Sellers4.7%
- Darian Mensah18.0%
- Trinidad Chambliss18.5%
- Ahmad Hardy3.0%
Latest: Sep 24, 03:28 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sophie Cunningham's shirt has a message for the haters, Arch Manning neutralized & Cowboys WAG Haley Cavinder!Fox News · 8h ago
- Arch Manning officially goes through the PR spin cycle and the finished product sounds awfulFox News · 15h ago
- Arch Manning throws 2 TD passes as top-ranked Texas holds off UTSA with SEC schedule loomingFox News · 4d ago
- Reporter for The Athletic fumes over Arch Manning, silent on Josh Jacobs' alleged violence against womanFox News · 7d ago
- Arch Manning apologizes for laughing at violent AI video towards reporter Holly RoweCBS News · 8d ago
- Arch Manning issues apology after facing heat for laughing at AI video of Steve Sarkisian slapping Holly RoweFox News · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Arch Manning win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
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