Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 54.0¢
- Implied chance
- 54.0%
- Return if right
- 85.2%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.
YES wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $90.48.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 49.0¢
- Implied chance
- 49.0%
- Return if right
- 104.1%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.
NO wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $110.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to Donald Trump will qualify even if he is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. The resolution source will be the official NBC/Peacock broadcast of the ceremony.