Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 68.3¢
- Implied chance
- 68.3%
- Return if right
- 46.4%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 146.4 shares at 68.3¢ each.
YES wins: $146.41 back, a profit of $46.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $50.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 35.1¢
- Implied chance
- 35.1%
- Return if right
- 184.9%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 284.9 shares at 35.1¢ each.
NO wins: $284.90 back, a profit of $184.90. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $199.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state. Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium. Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.