Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 16.0¢
- Implied chance
- 16.0%
- Return if right
- 525.0%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 625.0 shares at 16.0¢ each.
YES wins: $625.00 back, a profit of $525.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $64.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $589.66.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 87.0¢
- Implied chance
- 87.0%
- Return if right
- 14.9%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 114.9 shares at 87.0¢ each.
NO wins: $114.94 back, a profit of $14.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Malaysia’s Anwar Loses Third Lawmaker This Year in Party ExodusBloomberg · 3h ago
- Malaysia Was Confident in Its Social Media Ban, but Kids Are Still Logged InThe New York Times · 10h ago
- Malaysian PM Anwar Ibrahim undergoes medical procedureAl Jazeera · 11h ago
- Malaysia vows not to return Rohingya refugees to Myanmar if lives at riskAl Jazeera · 5d ago
- Malaysia Says Investment Pipeline Holds Despite Political AngstBloomberg · 5d ago
- Malaysia Blockchain Week’s OnlyFans scandal, lonely heart scammed for $3.3M: Asia ExpressCointelegraph · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anwar Ibrahim ceases to be Prime Minister of Malaysia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.