Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 14.0¢
- Implied chance
- 14.0%
- Return if right
- 614.3%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.
YES wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $396.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $1011.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.0¢
- Implied chance
- 96.0%
- Return if right
- 4.2%
- Spread cost
- 58%
If you put in $100
You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.
NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.89.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 03:34 PM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sony Music, Warner sue Anthropic, alleging a “brazen campaign” of intellectual property theftTechCrunch · 21h ago
- Sony Music, Warner sue Anthropic, alleging a “brazen campaign” of intellectual property theftYahoo Finance · 21h ago
- Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell are suing AnthropicThe Verge · 21h ago
- Anthropic Is Chasing a $2T Valuation — A Wall Street Veteran Says Its Biggest IPO Risk Isn't What Investors ThinkYahoo Finance · 23h ago
- Music publishers sue Anthropic, allege "blantant theft" of copyrighted musicAxios · 23h ago
- Music publishers sue Anthropic, allege "blantant theft" of copyrighted musicYahoo Finance · 23h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T at t…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for the last trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data. The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.
Source: https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757/data
Other outcomes in Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $500B and $750B at the end of September 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of September 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be at least $2.25T at the end of September 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $750B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of September 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?