Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.8¢
- Implied chance
- 3.8%
- Return if right
- 2531.6%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 2631.6 shares at 3.8¢ each.
YES wins: $2631.58 back, a profit of $2531.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $939.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $3471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.2¢
- Implied chance
- 98.2%
- Return if right
- 1.8%
- Spread cost
- 36%
If you put in $100
You get 101.8 shares at 98.2¢ each.
NO wins: $101.83 back, a profit of $1.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 14, 12:42 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Anthropic's AI Agents Started a Virtual War. The Chat Logs Are UnhingedDecrypt · 15h ago
- Anthropic Is Quietly Watermarking Every Claude AI Output. Builders Are Already Trying to Break ItDecrypt · 16h ago
- SpaceX set an IPO record. Now there’s hope that Anthropic could shatter it.MarketWatch · 16h ago
- Anthropic set AI agents loose on the same task. They started a turf war.TechCrunch · 18h ago
- Anthropic’s New Institute Chief of Staff Will Probe AI’s ImpactYahoo Finance · 19h ago
- Anthropic IPO Value Could Beat SpaceX's Record: ReportYahoo Finance · 19h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
An official announcement from Anthropic that it will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market. If a ticker used by Anthropic in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if Anthropic uses a ticker symbol of $ANTH.A or $ANTHA, this market will resolve to $ANTH). If Anthropic announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $ANTH.A and $ANTH.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until Anthropic's first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order. If Anthropic IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic and the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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