Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.6¢
- Implied chance
- 1.6%
- Return if right
- 6150.0%
- Spread cost
- 32%
If you put in $100
You get 6250.0 shares at 1.6¢ each.
YES wins: $6250.00 back, a profit of $6150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2840.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $8990.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.4¢
- Implied chance
- 99.4%
- Return if right
- 0.6%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 100.6 shares at 99.4¢ each.
NO wins: $100.60 back, a profit of $0.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 11:24 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Anthropic is turning Claude Code’s auto mode on by defaultTechCrunch · 1d ago
- ByteDance trains massive AI model in bid to rival AnthropicArs Technica · 3d ago
- Anthropic will design its own hardware to power ClaudeArs Technica · 4d ago
- Blackstone Has Pitched Mega Debt Package for Anthropic Chip DealBloomberg · 4d ago
- Amazon's Stake in Anthropic Could Be Worth Over $200 Billion if the AI Startup's Reported IPO Valuation Holds. Should Amazon Investors Care?Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Dem senator presses OpenAI, Anthropic for answers in AI hacking probeFox News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at ma…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Other outcomes in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?