Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.7¢
- Implied chance
- 3.7%
- Return if right
- 2602.7%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 2702.7 shares at 3.7¢ each.
YES wins: $2702.70 back, a profit of $2602.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $630.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $3233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.7¢
- Implied chance
- 97.7%
- Return if right
- 2.4%
- Spread cost
- 24%
If you put in $100
You get 102.4 shares at 97.7¢ each.
NO wins: $102.35 back, a profit of $2.35. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.09.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 08:43 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Appeals court sides with Trump admin in Anthropic blacklistingThe Hill · 1h ago
- Anthropic to pay Akamai $11.6 billion over seven years in cloud dealTechCrunch · 4h ago
- US court upholds Pentagon’s blacklisting of AnthropicAl Jazeera · 6h ago
- Anthropic’s Blacklisting by the Pentagon Was Legal, Federal Judges RuleThe New York Times · 7h ago
- Federal appeals court declines to block Pentagon from blacklisting AnthropicABC News · 7h ago
- DC appeals court sides with Pentagon on blacklist of AnthropicThe Hill · 7h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at mark…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Other outcomes in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?