Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 47.0¢
- Implied chance
- 47.0%
- Return if right
- 112.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 212.8 shares at 47.0¢ each.
YES wins: $212.77 back, a profit of $112.77. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $115.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 54.0¢
- Implied chance
- 54.0%
- Return if right
- 85.2%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.
NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $86.92.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- October 15, 202648.5%
- December 31, 202690.5%
- October 31, 202682.5%
- September 30, 202622.5%
- September 15, 20262.8%
Latest: Aug 22, 06:10 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Anthropic IPO valuation looks to $190-200 billion revenue target for 2028Yahoo Finance · 6d ago
- Exclusive-Anthropic IPO valuation hinges on $190-200 billion 2028 revenue forecast, sources sayYahoo Finance · 9d ago
- Anthropic IPO Value Could Beat SpaceX's Record: ReportYahoo Finance · 10d ago
- Riot Platforms $9.1B AI deal fuels speculation around Anthropic IPOYahoo Finance · 12d ago
- Forget the Anthropic IPO: 2 Magnificent AI Stocks to Buy and Hold InsteadYahoo Finance · 18d ago
- Got $500? 2 Magnificent AI Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist Before the Anthropic IPOYahoo Finance · 18d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.