Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
YES wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 7.0¢
- Implied chance
- 7.0%
- Return if right
- 1328.6%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 1428.6 shares at 7.0¢ each.
NO wins: $1428.57 back, a profit of $1328.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $109.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $1438.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 15, 11:34 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Anthropic shares more details about how Claude’s new watermarks will workTechCrunch · 5h ago
- Anthropic Expects Mind-Blowing $200 Billion Revenue in 2028 as IPO LoomsYahoo Finance · 8h ago
- OpenAI and Anthropic in price war as Chinese AI rivals gain groundArs Technica · 1d ago
- Millions of 401(k) Holders Could Be Forced to Buy Anthropic Stock. Forced Buying of SpaceX Has Already Cost Retirement Accounts $500 Million.Yahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Anthropic needs to bring in Amazon-style earnings to justify its $2 trillion valuation—but it’s barely turned a profitYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Anthropic’s $6 Billion Deal Talks With Decart Show Focus on Cost EfficiencyYahoo Finance · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the e…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev
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