Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.0¢
- Implied chance
- 8.0%
- Return if right
- 1150.0%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 1250.0 shares at 8.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1250.00 back, a profit of $1150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $568.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $1718.18.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 47%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 04:36 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- An unreleased Anthropic model made progress on one of math’s biggest unsolved problemsTechCrunch · 12m ago
- Riot Platforms $9.1B AI deal fuels speculation around Anthropic IPOYahoo Finance · 32m ago
- Rocket Lab Drops on Launch Pushback; Riot Platforms' Anthropic Deal | Stock MoversYahoo Finance · 1h ago
- Riot Platforms stock surges on $9.1 billion data center deal with AnthropicYahoo Finance · 3h ago
- Riot Platforms stock surges on $9.1 billion data center deal with AnthropicYahoo Finance · 3h ago
- ‘Clear scale up path’: Bernstein sees 80% upside for Riot after reported $9.1 billion Anthropic dealThe Block · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs
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