Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.7¢
- Implied chance
- 2.7%
- Return if right
- 3603.7%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 3703.7 shares at 2.7¢ each.
YES wins: $3703.70 back, a profit of $3603.70. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $377.93 of that profit. Without it you would make $3981.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.8¢
- Implied chance
- 97.8%
- Return if right
- 2.2%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 102.2 shares at 97.8¢ each.
NO wins: $102.25 back, a profit of $2.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.51.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 22, 03:05 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- OpenAI, Anthropic CEOs call for global AI regulation at UNAl Jazeera · 4h ago
- Anthropic Says Claude Found Something Big in DNA. It Just Doesn't Know WhatDecrypt · 5h ago
- OpenAI, Anthropic CEOs at UN call for global AI cooperation: 'We are at a crossroads'ABC News · 5h ago
- US rejects pleas from OpenAI, Anthropic for global AI standardsBBC Business · 6h ago
- Anthropic says its biology lab has already found something bigTechCrunch · 6h ago
- AI leaders urge caution at UN, with Anthropic chief pledging to slow downFrance 24 · 6h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by Septe…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of Anthropic, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used Anthropic's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.