Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner$41k liquidity$77k volumecloses 1d
primary electionsSenate PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryMinnesota PrimaryAugust 11 PrimariesUS Election
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
30.0¢
Implied chance
30.0%
Return if right
233.3%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.

YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $238.98.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
71.0¢
Implied chance
71.0%
Return if right
40.8%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.

NO wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $41.84.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%30%72%Aug 3Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 04:13 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Min”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? (30% chance) | PullToPar