Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.9¢
- Implied chance
- 5.9%
- Return if right
- 1594.9%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 1694.9 shares at 5.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1694.92 back, a profit of $1594.92. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $106.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $1701.80.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.8¢
- Implied chance
- 94.8%
- Return if right
- 5.5%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 105.5 shares at 94.8¢ each.
NO wins: $105.49 back, a profit of $5.49. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Andy Beshear5.5%
- Gretchen Whitmer10.6%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.5%
- Jon Ossoff4.2%
- Pete Buttigieg5.0%
- Wes Moore3.4%
Latest: Sep 24, 08:09 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Andy Beshear drops hints about 2028 at event with Wes MooreThe Washington Post · 1d ago
- Extended interview: Andy BeshearCBS News · 3d ago
- Andy Beshear slams Trump for trying to cut SNAP benefits: "That's not Christian"CBS News · 3d ago
- Democrat Andy Beshear on pursuing "The Great American Reset"CBS News · 4d ago
- Democrat Andy Beshear on pursuing "The Great American Reset"CBS News · 4d ago
- Book excerpt: "Go and Do Likewise" by Andy BeshearCBS News · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential n…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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