Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 33.0¢
- Implied chance
- 33.0%
- Return if right
- 203.0%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.
YES wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.66 of that profit. Without it you would make $207.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 68.0¢
- Implied chance
- 68.0%
- Return if right
- 47.1%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.
NO wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.09 of that profit. Without it you would make $48.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 06:10 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Nebraska Senate candidate seems to confirm audio claiming Trump supporters' lives 'suck so f---ing bad'Fox News · 7d ago
- In leaked recording, Nebraska Senate candidate criticizes some Trump votersThe Washington Post · 9d ago
- As He Backs ICE Crackdown, Nebraska Governor Employs Undocumented WorkersThe New York Times · 16d ago
- GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts and independent opponent clash in fiery Nebraska Senate debateNBC News · 23d ago
- Nebraska school district asks police to stop using shock gloves on studentsThe Guardian · 1mo ago
- Fierce rain swamps Ohio, Kansas, Nebraska, storms hit Mid-AtlanticCBS News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.