Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 56%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
YES wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.7¢
- Implied chance
- 0.7%
- Return if right
- 14185.7%
- Spread cost
- 36%
If you put in $100
You get 14285.7 shares at 0.7¢ each.
NO wins: $14285.71 back, a profit of $14185.71. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7936.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $22122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 10:37 AM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Minnesota primaries could mark change of path for Democrats and RepublicansThe Guardian · 37m ago
- In Minnesota and Wisconsin, competitive primaries will again test power of progressive candidatesNPR · 2h ago
- Previewing Tuesday's primaries in 5 states, including Wisconsin, Minnesota and South CarolinaCBS News · 11h ago
- Previewing primaries in South Carolina, MinnesotaCBS News · 13h ago
- Several states gear up for high-stakes primaries, including Wisconsin, Vermont and MinnesotaCBS News · 18h ago
- Minnesota’s Democratic Senate Primary Pits Angie Craig Against Peggy FlanaganThe New York Times · 21h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democrati…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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