Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 23, 03:13 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Amazon's Free Cash Flow Went Negative by $7.6 Billion Even as Operating Cash Flow Rose 33%. Here's the Gap AI Capex Is Actually Creating.Yahoo Finance · 39m ago
- Amazon's Custom Chip Business Crossed a $25 Billion Run Rate: Time to Load Up on Shares?Yahoo Finance · 20h ago
- Amazon just hiked the prices for Echo, Fire TV, and Kindle products by up to 60 percentThe Verge · 1d ago
- Amazon Stock Is Historically Cheap. Is This a Once-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity?Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Alphabet and Amazon Are Investing $420 Billion in Artificial Intelligence (AI) Infrastructure: 4 Hardware Stocks Set to ProfitYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- UPS Fired Amazon. Was It The Smart Move?Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Source: https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding
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