Will Alibaba be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 07:18 AM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Why Polaris Capital Continues Watching Alibaba (BABA) Amid AI Opportunity and China Market ChallengesYahoo Finance · 17h ago
- Alibaba Falls 4% as Reported Beijing AI Probe Undercuts Chip Rally; Baidu Eases, JD.com DipsYahoo Finance · 18h ago
- Alibaba Higher on Chip News; On Holdings Football Move | Stock MoversBloomberg · 2d ago
- Alibaba Jumps 4% as Zhenwu V900 Chip Targets the Gap NVIDIA Left in China; Baidu Sits TightYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Alibaba Shares Rise as Company Unveils Zhenwu V900 AI Chip and Plans Major Data Centre ExpansionYahoo Finance · 2d ago
- Alibaba Unveils Powerful AI Chip as Meta Revives AI OptimismBloomberg · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Alibaba be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of S…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
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