Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

Q: Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?

Prediction markets currently price this at 89%. A YES share costs 88.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 12.7% over 22d.

Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026$4k liquidity$10k volumecloses 22d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 88.7¢
Implied chance: 88.7%
Return if right: 12.7%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 112.7 shares at 88.7¢ each.

YES wins: $112.74 back, a profit of $12.74. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $12.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 11.7¢
Implied chance: 11.7%
Return if right: 754.7%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 854.7 shares at 11.7¢ each.

NO wins: $854.70 back, a profit of $754.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $769.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 5, 06:39 AM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.