Will Alcides Fernandes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 34.0¢
- Implied chance
- 34.0%
- Return if right
- 194.1%
- Spread cost
- 57%
If you put in $100
You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.
YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $261.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $455.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 91%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $19.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Alcides Fernandes28.0%
- Capitão Wagner57.5%
- Lino Alves8.0%
- Luizianne21.0%
- Catarina Matos21.0%
- Reginaldo28.5%
Latest: Aug 18, 07:36 PM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
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How this market resolves
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other outcomes in Ceará Senate Election: 2nd Place
Will Lino Alves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
Will Luizianne win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
Will Catarina Matos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
Will Cid Gomes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
Will Guilherme Theophilo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
Will Reginaldo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?