Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 74.0¢
- Implied chance
- 74.0%
- Return if right
- 35.1%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.
YES wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $41.84.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 33.0¢
- Implied chance
- 33.0%
- Return if right
- 203.0%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.
NO wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $35.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $238.98.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Top-ranked Jannik Sinner withdraws from US Open with right knee injury: 'Sad and disappointed'Fox News · 6h ago
- Jannik Sinner to miss US Open tennis major due to knee injuryAl Jazeera · 11h ago
- Injured Sinner & Draper withdraw from US OpenBBC Sport · 13h ago
- Carlos Alcaraz confirms US Open return after four-month injury layoffAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- US Open offers biggest prize fund in Grand Slam historyBBC Sport · 1d ago
- Alcaraz to play US Open after four months outBBC Sport · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This is a market to predict whether Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slam championships in 2026. If Carlos Alcaraz wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Jannik Sinner, this market will resolve to “Alcaraz”. If Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Carlos Alcaraz, this market will resolve to “Sinner”. If Alcaraz and Sinner win the same amount of Grand Slams in 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. Only victories in Men’s Singles Grand Slam tournaments will be considered for this market’s resolution. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon. If it becomes impossible for either Alcaraz or Sinner to win as many Grand Slams in 2026 as the other (e.g. Alcaraz wins the first three grand slams), this market will resolve immediately. Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.