Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 41.0¢
- Implied chance
- 41.0%
- Return if right
- 143.9%
- Spread cost
- 26%
If you put in $100
You get 243.9 shares at 41.0¢ each.
YES wins: $243.90 back, a profit of $143.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $50.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $194.12.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 73.0¢
- Implied chance
- 73.0%
- Return if right
- 37.0%
- Spread cost
- 28%
If you put in $100
You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.
NO wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $51.52.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 05:56 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Source: https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/
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