Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.4¢
- Implied chance
- 0.4%
- Return if right
- 24900.0%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 25000.0 shares at 0.4¢ each.
YES wins: $25000.00 back, a profit of $24900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15000.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $39900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 01:23 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Aaron Judge says he intends to be ready for Yankees' Wild Card series despite calf injuryFox News · 1d ago
- Yankees' World Series hopes take major hit as Aaron Judge may not be on postseason roster with calf injuryFox News · 3d ago
- Yankees star Aaron Judge heads back to injured list weeks after returning from broken ribFox News · 7d ago
- Aaron Judge held hitless in long-awaited return to New York Yankees lineup from rib fractureFox News · 16d ago
- Aaron Judge Back In Yankees Lineup Following 99-Day Rib Injury AbsenceFox News · 17d ago
- Aaron Judge returns to Yankees after 83 games missed with rib injury ahead of postseason pushFox News · 18d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Awa…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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