Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 50.0¢
- Implied chance
- 50.0%
- Return if right
- 100.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.
YES wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $106.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 53.0¢
- Implied chance
- 53.0%
- Return if right
- 88.7%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.
NO wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $94.17.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Israeli parties submit slates for October Knesset electionsAl Jazeera · 26d ago
- Israeli soldiers block Knesset member from besieged Palestinian homeAl Jazeera · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset votes on whether to express confidence in a new government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A vote will qualify regardless of its passage. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify. The continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.