Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner

Q: Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 56%. A YES share costs 56.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 78.6% over 7h.

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs$3k liquidity$0 volumecloses 7h

EsportsValorantGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 56.0¢
Implied chance: 56.0%
Return if right: 78.6%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 178.6 shares at 56.0¢ each.

YES wins: $178.57 back, a profit of $78.57. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $81.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 46.0¢
Implied chance: 46.0%
Return if right: 117.4%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.

NO wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $122.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 20, 06:27 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between XLG Gaming and Nova Esports in the VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "XLG Gaming" if XLG Gaming win Map 1 against Nova Esports. This market will resolve to "Nova Esports" if Nova Esports win Map 1 against XLG Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://vlr.gg