Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Q: Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Prediction markets currently price this at 62%. A YES share costs 62.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 61.3% over 8h.

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins$8k liquidity$29 volumecloses 8h

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 62.0¢
Implied chance: 62.0%
Return if right: 61.3%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 161.3 shares at 62.0¢ each.

YES wins: $161.29 back, a profit of $61.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $62.60.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 39.0¢
Implied chance: 39.0%
Return if right: 156.4%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.

NO wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $159.74.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 12, 01:36 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Heretics and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Team Heretics. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://vlr.gg