Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)

Q: Map Handicap: SGE (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 88%. A YES share costs 88.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 13.6% over 6h.

Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins$50 liquidity$30 volumecloses 4h

EsportsValorantGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 88.0¢
Implied chance: 88.0%
Return if right: 13.6%
Spread cost: 31%

If you put in $100

You get 113.6 shares at 88.0¢ each.

YES wins: $113.64 back, a profit of $13.64. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $19.76.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 21.0¢
Implied chance: 21.0%
Return if right: 376.2%
Spread cost: 26%

If you put in $100

You get 476.2 shares at 21.0¢ each.

NO wins: $476.19 back, a profit of $376.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $129.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $506.06.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 16, 02:47 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Eternal Fire and Eintracht Frankfurt in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Eintracht Frankfurt" if Eintracht Frankfurt wins 2 or more maps than Eternal Fire in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Eternal Fire". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Source: https://vlr.gg