Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5)

Q: Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5)

Prediction markets currently price this at 48%. A YES share costs 48.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 108.3% over 7h.

Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins$2k liquidity$10 volumecloses 7h

EsportsValorantGamesSports

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 48.0¢
Implied chance: 48.0%
Return if right: 108.3%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 208.3 shares at 48.0¢ each.

YES wins: $208.33 back, a profit of $108.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $112.77.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 54.0¢
Implied chance: 54.0%
Return if right: 85.2%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.

NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $88.68.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 09:02 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dragon Ranger Gaming (-2.5) vs Trace …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Valorant match between Dragon Ranger Gaming and Trace Esports in the VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 11 at 6:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Dragon Ranger Gaming" if Dragon Ranger Gaming wins Map 1 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Dragon Ranger Gaming's round total on Map 1 exceeds Trace Esports's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Trace Esports". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.

Source: https://vlr.gg