US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on August 11?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Omers Returns 4.8% in 2026, Fueled by Stocks and US DollarBloomberg · 8h ago
- US Dollar Price Forecast: Jobs Data Weaken DXY – Will CPI Lift EUR/USD and GBP/USD?Yahoo Finance · 2d ago
- US Dollar Price Forecast: NFP Countdown Keeps DXY, EUR/USD and GBP/USD in FocusYahoo Finance · 5d ago
- US Dollar Price Forecast: NFP Countdown Keeps DXY, EUR/USD and GBP/USD in FocusYahoo Finance · 6d ago
- US Dollar Price Forecast: NFP Week Keeps DXY, EUR/USD and GBP/USD in FocusYahoo Finance · 7d ago
- US Dollar Price Forecast: U.S. Data in Focus as DXY, EUR/USD and GBP/USD Test Key LevelsYahoo Finance · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Up or Down on August 11?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on August 11, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day. This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower. If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its reference price, since weekend sessions (where applicable) do not include a 4:59 PM ET close; if that Friday were a market holiday, it would refer to the next most recent prior reference day. All times are Eastern Time, and each day refers to the Eastern Time calendar date. If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the 4:59 PM ET 1-minute candle on any day for which a reference price is being determined — including August 11, 2026 itself, such as on a day with shortened trading hours — the last valid Pyth price published prior to 5:00 PM ET on that date will be used as that day's reference price. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on the prior reference day — due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption — the next most recent prior reference day on which a valid Pyth price was published will be used in its place. If no valid Pyth price is published at all on August 11, 2026, or if August 11, 2026 is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Pyth, specifically the "Close" value of the relevant 1-minute candle for US Dollar / Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FJPY. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Source: https://pythdata.app/explore/FX.USD%2FJPY