US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.0¢
- Implied chance
- 5.0%
- Return if right
- 1900.0%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 2000.0 shares at 5.0¢ each.
YES wins: $2000.00 back, a profit of $1900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $500.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $2400.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 26%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.17.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Vitalik Buterin puts privacy and quantum resistance front and center in Ethereum’s latest roadmapThe Block · 7m ago
- Bitmine Buys Another 7,391 Ethereum And Increases Staked PositionYahoo Finance · 1h ago
- Tom Lee's Bitmine Buys $14M in Ethereum as Cash Falls to $104MYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Tom Lee's Bitmine Buys $14M in Ethereum as Cash Falls to $104MDecrypt · 2h ago
- Bitmine adds 7,391 ether in a week, bringing total Ethereum holdings to 5.81 million ETHThe Block · 3h ago
- Ethereum and Solana Reassess Inflation Schedules as Security Costs Raise Supply ConcernsYahoo Finance · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Ethereum in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Ethereum does not count as holding Ethereum reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.