Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 38.0¢
- Implied chance
- 38.0%
- Return if right
- 163.2%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.
YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 67.0¢
- Implied chance
- 67.0%
- Return if right
- 49.3%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 149.3 shares at 67.0¢ each.
NO wins: $149.25 back, a profit of $49.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Is the US ready for President Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez?The Guardian · 5d ago
- What's next for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez?The Hill · 9d ago
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez shrugs off past 'defund the police' comments, joking 'Woke 1 was crazy'Fox News · 10d ago
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces decision to freeze her eggsThe Guardian · 10d ago
- 5 things to know about Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's Sunday interviewThe Hill · 11d ago
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says she’s freezing her eggsThe Washington Post · 11d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.