Will Vicente Luque win by KO or TKO?

Q: Will Vicente Luque win by KO or TKO?

Prediction markets currently price this at 75%. A YES share costs 75.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 33.3% over 4d.

UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$627 liquidity$0 volumecloses 4d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 75.0¢
Implied chance: 75.0%
Return if right: 33.3%
Spread cost: 78%

If you put in $100

You get 133.3 shares at 75.0¢ each.

YES wins: $133.33 back, a profit of $33.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $116.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $150.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 95.0¢
Implied chance: 95.0%
Return if right: 5.3%
Spread cost: 92%

If you put in $100

You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.

NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $61.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $66.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 07:07 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vicente Luque defeats Tresean Gore at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events