UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Q: UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Prediction markets currently price this at 23%. A YES share costs 23.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 334.8% over 14d.

UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)$6k liquidity$0 volumecloses 14d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 23.0¢
Implied chance: 23.0%
Return if right: 334.8%
Spread cost: 14%

If you put in $100

You get 434.8 shares at 23.0¢ each.

YES wins: $434.78 back, a profit of $334.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $53.02 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 82.0¢
Implied chance: 82.0%
Return if right: 22.0%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.

NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 15, 11:30 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamwe…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events