UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Q: UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Prediction markets currently price this at 41%. A YES share costs 41.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 143.9% over 9d.

UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)$8k liquidity$1k volumecloses 9d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 41.0¢
Implied chance: 41.0%
Return if right: 143.9%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 243.9 shares at 41.0¢ each.

YES wins: $243.90 back, a profit of $143.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $146.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 60.0¢
Implied chance: 60.0%
Return if right: 66.7%
Spread cost: 2%

If you put in $100

You get 166.7 shares at 60.0¢ each.

NO wins: $166.67 back, a profit of $66.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $68.07.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 13, 05:21 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweig…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Serghei Spivac" if Serghei Spivac is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vitor Petrino at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Vitor Petrino" if Vitor Petrino is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events