UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Q: UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Prediction markets currently price this at 31%. A YES share costs 31.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 222.6% over 11d.

UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)$4k liquidity$6 volumecloses 11d

SportsUFCGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 31.0¢
Implied chance: 31.0%
Return if right: 222.6%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 322.6 shares at 31.0¢ each.

YES wins: $322.58 back, a profit of $222.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $238.98.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 72.0¢
Implied chance: 72.0%
Return if right: 38.9%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.

NO wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.96 of that profit. Without it you would make $41.84.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 25, 10:38 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Pr…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Ryan Spann" if Ryan Spann is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mario Pinto at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Mario Pinto" if Mario Pinto is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events