Will the fight end before Round 5?

Q: Will the fight end before Round 5?

Prediction markets currently price this at 97%. A YES share costs 97.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 3.1% over 10d.

UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)$4 liquidity$0 volumecloses 10d

SportsUFCGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 97.0¢
Implied chance: 97.0%
Return if right: 3.1%
Spread cost: 97%

If you put in $100

You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.

YES wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $96.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 97.0¢
Implied chance: 97.0%
Return if right: 3.1%
Spread cost: 97%

If you put in $100

You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.

NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $96.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 04:38 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the fight end before Round 5?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Natalia Silva and Wang Cong at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, officially ends before Round 5 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 4 and Round 5 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events