UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)

Q: UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)

Prediction markets currently price this at 36%. A YES share costs 36.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 177.8% over 11d.

UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)$5k liquidity$15 volumecloses 11d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 36.0¢
Implied chance: 36.0%
Return if right: 177.8%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 277.8 shares at 36.0¢ each.

YES wins: $277.78 back, a profit of $177.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $185.71.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 66.0¢
Implied chance: 66.0%
Return if right: 51.5%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 151.5 shares at 66.0¢ each.

NO wins: $151.52 back, a profit of $51.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $53.85.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 26, 02:40 PM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherwe…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Morgan Charrière" if Morgan Charrière is officially declared the winner of the fight against Felipe Lima at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Felipe Lima" if Felipe Lima is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events