O/U 2.5 Rounds
BUY YES
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
YES wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $56.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 37.0¢
- Implied chance
- 37.0%
- Return if right
- 170.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.
NO wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $177.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- O/U 2.5 Rounds64.0%
- O/U 0.5 Rounds85.5%
- Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos76.5%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds73.5%
- Fight to Go the Distance?59.0%
- Fight won by submission?13.0%
Latest: Aug 22, 06:41 AM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
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- India rout Pakistan at Hockey World Cup 2026 to qualify for second roundAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Round Hill Music Sues Suno, Anthropic for Copyright Infringement, Seeking Up to $1 Billion in DamagesVariety · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “O/U 2.5 Rounds”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Mason Jones and MarQuel Mederos at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond September 5, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Source: https://www.ufc.com/events