UFC Fight Night: Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Q: UFC Fight Night: Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Prediction markets currently price this at 74%. A YES share costs 74.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 35.1% over 7d.

UFC Fight Night: Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago (Bantamweight, Prelims)$7k liquidity$3 volumecloses 7d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 74.0¢
Implied chance: 74.0%
Return if right: 35.1%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.

YES wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $37.93.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 29.0¢
Implied chance: 29.0%
Return if right: 244.8%
Spread cost: 7%

If you put in $100

You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.

NO wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $263.64.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 23, 12:26 AM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “UFC Fight Night: Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago (Bantamwei…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Lawrence Lui" if Lawrence Lui is officially declared the winner of the fight against Hector Santiago at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Hector Santiago" if Hector Santiago is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events