UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Q: UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Prediction markets currently price this at 80%. A YES share costs 80.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 25.0% over 7d.

UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)$9k liquidity$281 volumecloses 7d

SportsUFCGames

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 80.0¢
Implied chance: 80.0%
Return if right: 25.0%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.

YES wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.79.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 21.0¢
Implied chance: 21.0%
Return if right: 376.2%
Spread cost: 3%

If you put in $100

You get 476.2 shares at 21.0¢ each.

NO wins: $476.19 back, a profit of $376.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $387.80.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 22, 03:10 AM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, M…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Kai Asakura" if Kai Asakura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aoriqileng at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Aoriqileng" if Aoriqileng is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events