Fight to Go the Distance?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 53.0¢
- Implied chance
- 53.0%
- Return if right
- 88.7%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 188.7 shares at 53.0¢ each.
YES wins: $188.68 back, a profit of $88.68. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $94.17.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 50.0¢
- Implied chance
- 50.0%
- Return if right
- 100.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 200.0 shares at 50.0¢ each.
NO wins: $200.00 back, a profit of $100.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $106.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Fight to Go the Distance?51.5%
- Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry75.5%
- O/U 1.5 Rounds74.0%
- Fight won by submission?54.5%
- O/U 2.5 Rounds69.5%
- O/U 3.5 Rounds66.0%
Latest: Aug 10, 04:47 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Mark Halperin calls Hasan Piker a 'horrible person' as Democrats face pressure to distance from streamerFox News · 3d ago
- Pete Buttigieg distances himself from Biden amid 2028 talk, suggests 'Build Back Better' doesn't workFox News · 5d ago
- Top FIFA officials distance themselves from Infantino's World Cup sell-off planABC News · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Fight to Go the Distance?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Source: https://www.ufc.com/events