Will Payton Talbott win in Round 3?

Q: Will Payton Talbott win in Round 3?

Prediction markets currently price this at 97%. A YES share costs 97.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 3.1% over 10d.

UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)$8 liquidity$0 volumecloses 10d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 97.0¢
Implied chance: 97.0%
Return if right: 3.1%
Spread cost: 97%

If you put in $100

You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.

YES wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $96.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 97.0¢
Implied chance: 97.0%
Return if right: 3.1%
Spread cost: 97%

If you put in $100

You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.

NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $96.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $100.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 08:38 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Payton Talbott win in Round 3?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Payton Talbott defeats Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 3, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Source: https://www.ufc.com/events